Las Vegas Market Update – April 2011

March Soars Past February and Betters Last Year!

Single family residential (SFR) closings for March were up 31% from February and 6.6% better than March 2010. The median sales price of an SFR dipped 1.6% to $125,950.  Overall inventory continues to slowly shrink while available REO inventory remains steady at the 2800 level.  Average SFR closings prices suffered a 7.5% decline in the Northwest, but the good news is that the average closing sales price of an SFR increased nicely in some other areas, most notably in Summerlin and the Southwest!

Classic Closings rebounded nicely in March and comprised 27% of all closings!  And keep in mind that the average closing price of a Classic sale was $174,000 (SFR, CON, TWH, MAN combined) compared to $112,482 for REO closings and $138,544 for Short Sale closings.

Thank you to everyone who voted in this year’s Primary Elections! Also keep in mind that based on the 2010 Census—Nevada will gain a fourth Congressional seat.  To keep up with Reapportionment & Redistricting or the current Legislative Session, please visit:  http://www.leg.state.nv.us/

For the complete Equity Title Market Update Report for April 2011 – Click Here.

Also, I’m including the most current Credit Suisse Survey report that includes information based on a monthly survey of Real Estate agents.  For the April 2011 Credit Suisse Report – Click Here.

Lastly – Click Here for the latest Center for Business and Economic Research (CBER – UNLV) report that is compiled by Bob Potts.  UNLV’s CBER is headed by Nasser Daneshvary and they provide invaluable economic research and information for Greater Las Vegas.  Please take time to review this report!

And of course – The Boys of Summer are Back! Go Yankees!

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Mortgage Insurance (MI) Changes Coming Soon

Mortgage Insurance Update

Jim & Vicki Sheppard

Shelter Mortgage

Please be aware of the upcoming changes, which are  reflected on the attached flyer.  Click Here for Flyer.  

As of April 18, 2011, the following changes are as follows on FHA MIP changes:  
1.  Up front mortgage insurance to remain the same at 1%
2.  On 30 year loans, if the LTV is 95% or less, the monthly MIP will be 1.1%
3.  LTV of more than 95%, the MIP will be 1.15%
4.  On 15 year loans, if the LTV is more than 90% it will be .5%, and LTV less than 90% it will be .25%
All case numbers assigned before April 17, 2011, we will use the old MIP, which is less.

 

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Las Vegas Market Update – March 2011

February Makes Gains Over January and Last Year!

Single family residential (SFR) closings for February were up 3.3% from January and 8.8% better than February 2010. The median sales price of an SFR also improved by just over 2% to $128,000.  Overall inventory continues to slowly shrink even as demand remains steady. This is also true for REO inventory which has dropped from a recent high of 3600 available properties to under 2900 as of this report.  Reports of phantom inventory may be more myth than reality based on this fact!

For the complete Equity Title Market Update Report for March 2011 – Click Here.

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Las Vegas Market Update – February 2011

January takes a little dip!

Single family residential (SFR) closings for January were down 3.8% from December 2010 but at 2509 closings it is still the second best January on record. The median sales price of an SFR dropped to $125,350 for a decline of 5% from December.  REO sales at the lower price points dominated January sales activity and contributed to the downward price pressure.  Here is a “stock market” look at Greater Las Vegas SFR closings.

The decline in FHA closing is also having an affect as we experience ever tighter underwriting for both FHA and Conventional loans. Cash was king in January.

For the complete Equity Title Market Update Report for February 2011 – Click Here.

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Las Vegas Market Update – January 2011

How Did the Las Vegas Market Fare in 2010?

2010 ended up being a stellar year for closings with only 2009 and 2004 being slightly better. Demand remains strong despite the expiration of the first time home buyers tax credit. The following chart can also be downloaded for your use. Click here to download as a pdf.

What this clearly shows is that 2010 was only bested by 2009 and 2004. Of course we acknowledge that market prices of the single family residence are down significantly from 2004, but the fact is that resale closings remain strong – even though tax credits for first time home buyers having been eliminated. So let’s now look closely at an eleven year history of both median and average sale prices for the Greater Las Vegas market. (This chart is included in the Equity Title Market Update Report for January 2011, which can be downloaded below.)

This month’s report is a year end special with extra charts to illustrate how strong and stable the market has been during 2010.  Also included are charts depicting the market shifts with respect to both closing type and terms.  For example, FHA closings have enjoyed approximately the same amount of market share for the past three years while Conventional loans have given way to Cash transactions due to a mix of circumstances, including more stringent underwriting requirements.

For the complete Equity Title Market Update Report for January 2011 – Click Here.

A Year of Stability!

Single family residential (SFR) closings for December are up more than 12% over November 2010 and is the second best December on record for closings. The median sales price of an SFR dropped to $132,000 for an overall drop of 2.9% for 2010.  Compare that to the 22.3% and 32.3% market value decline for 2009 and 2008 respectively.  That demonstrates stability and healing in this market. 

REO listings and closings are on the rise and that has been generally good for buyers. Nearly 30% of those listings are Fannie Mae Homepath qualified properties that offer owner occupied buyers additional leverage when competing with investors for ownership.

So What About 2011?

I’m a firm believer that usually nothing is ever as bad as the naysayers predict nor as good as the blinded optimist believes it will be.  Of course 2007 was the exception to that paradigm! Nevertheless let’s look for the Las Vegas market to build upon the present stability while enjoying the current level of demand.  Then we need to see what will happen with employment in the Las Vegas Valley.  Finally, we will just have to wait to learn how banks will manage the mix of foreclosures with short sales.  And if that weren’t enough, the real wild card is that we can look forward to an interesting political year – both on the state and federal level!  So fasten you seat belts and enjoy the ride!!

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Las Vegas Market Update – December 2010

A Visual Look at How the Las Vegas Market has Changed!

It’s so interesting to listen and read all of the national pundits that take nationwide data to proclaim how grim the Las Vegas market is and how much more it will decline in 2011.  Let’s start by dispelling the myth about how the nature of the 2010 Greater Las Vegas market by looking at an eleven year history of closed sales in the resale market.  Click here to download as a pdf.

What this clearly shows is that 2010 was only bested by 2009 and 2004.  Of course we acknowledge that market prices of the single family residence are down significantly from 2004, but the fact is that resale closings remain strong – even in the wake of the tax credits for first time home buyers having been eliminated.  So let’s now look closely at an eleven year history of both median and average sale prices for the Greater Las Vegas market. (This chart is included in the Equity Title Market Update Report for November 2010, which can be downloaded below.)

For the complete Equity Title Market Update Report for November 2010 - Click Here.

A Shift in the Types of Closings

The single best way for any real estate agent to lose market opportunities these past couple of years was to ignore the dramatic market shifts and not take action to adapt to those changes.  That includes many who rode the REO horse right off the edge of the cliff last year.  Here is the market mix for 2008:

By contrast 2009 witnessed the surge of REO closings:

But alas, 2010 saw banks becoming more efficient in processing short sales and traditional home owners who properly priced their homes to the market win big in the closing game:

So the bottom line for the first eleven months of 2010 is that the market is down 3.6% from a year ago and 2011 looks to be a continuation of 2010 with relatively flat market prices.  However, the market value chart above demonstrates the stability that the current market enjoys – even if the levels harken back to 2000 and 2001.  I recommend remaining cautiously optimistic with an eye towards job creation over the next couple of years.  More importantly for REALTORS, follow the market, follow the changes, and then in the profound words and wisdom of Gunnery Sgt. Highway in Heartbreak Ridge: “Improvise, adapt, and overcome.”

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November Market Update * Shelter Mortgage Updates

NEW Mortgage CE Class!

First, I want to announce a new CE class that was recently approved by Shelter Mortgage!  The new “Mortgage Financing in a New Age” class will be launched Wednesday, November 10, 2010 in the Summerlin office from 1-4PM.  For class details and to RSVP, Click Here.

Shelter Mortgage Newsletter from Jim & Vicki Sheppard

I also want to share a newsletter with everyone that Jim and Vicki Sheppard prepare and distribute to their own clients and agents in the Summerlin office. This newsletter offers tips and advice on “How to Rebuild Credit”.  Click here to download and share with your own clients.  Thank you Jim & Vicki!!!

Las Vegas Market Update for November

Single family residential (SFR) closings declined by 207 units from September sales but were down 936 units or (-26.5%) from October 2009.  The median sales price of an SFR dipped to $133,000.   Available REO properties are nearly 3500 units.  Short sale closings slowed down while bank owned (REO) and Classic sales increased.  Cash was certainly “king” in October as 46% of all closings were cash. The market appears to  be soft, but stable as we close out the fourth quarter of 2010.  For the most current Equity Title Market Update, Click Here!

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The Last Few Days of Early Voting in Nevada

Nevada Early Voting for the 2010 General Election began October 16th and runs through October 29th.  Please TAKE TIME TO VOTE this year as every vote truly counts!  Remember that February 2011 is the start of a new legislative session that will see a number of bills introduced that will potentially have a tremendous impact on how we conduct business!

The Nevada Association of REALTORS has provided a voter guide that endorses candidates that support REALTOR issues. Click here to download the NVAR Voter Guide.

I am personally supporting the Laurie Bisch candidacy.  Click here for her information and to download her campaign flyer.

I am also supporting the Sharron Angle candicacy for Nevada U. S. Senate. Click here to view her website.

 

 

 

But regardless of who you support, it is crucial that you take time to vote for the candidates of your choice.

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Las Vegas Market Update – October 2010

Bank of America announced a moratorium on forecloses effective October 9, 2010.

Single family residential (SFR) closings declined by 13 units from August sales but were down 552 units or (-16.4%) from September 2009.  Median sales prices have fluctuated between $135,000 and $140,000 throughout 2010.  This demonstrates the stability of the Greater Las Vegas Market despite economic, political, appraisal, and constantly changing loan underwriting standards that have all had an impact on residential resale transactions.  Sixty percent (60%) of all listings have closed during 2010.  This is down from 67% from 2009, but remains significantly strong compared to 41% in 2008 and 24% in 2007.  Available REO properties peaked just at 3400 units but have pulled back a bit.  Bank of America announced Friday afternoon that they have placed a moratorium on all foreclosures effective October 9, 2010 until further notice.

 For the complete Equity Title Market Update Report for September 2010 – Click Here.

Nevada Early Voting for the 2010 General Election begins October 16th and runs through October 29th.  Please TAKE TIME TO VOTE this year as every vote truly counts!  Remember that February 2011 is the start of a new legislative session that will see a number of bills introduced that will potentially have a tremendous impact on how we conduct business!

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Las Vegas Market Update – September 2010

A New HomePath Program from Fannie Mae!

The mortgage giant quietly launches the HomePath program, which offers subprime-era terms for buyers: minimal down payments, no appraisals, no mortgage insurance and low minimum credit scores.  For the full story see the Los Angeles Times Business article, written by Kenneth R. Harney, dated September 5, 2010 titled: “Fannie Mae tries to stimulate market for foreclosed homes”

The HomePath home page is: http://www.homepath.com/

Single family residential (SFR) closings declined by only 129 units (–4.4%) from July sales and 410 units (-12.7%) from August 2009.  The number of units closed remains at very good levels, but certainly we are feeling the effects of not having a first time home buyer tax credit, along with tougher FHA underwriting standards, and the continuing saga of inconsistent appraisals.  The median SFR sales price came back to $140,000 from $135,000.  The last page of this report shows that closed sales prices for SFRs rose in every part of Greater Las Vegas with the exception of homes in the North, the East and Boulder City. The year to date median is $138,000 and represents an overall 1.25% decline for SFR sales. 

For the complete Equity Title Market Update Report for August 2010 - Click Here.

Available REO properties now exceed 3000, but market values have continued to hold relatively steady for nearly 18 months.  Inventory levels grew in August primarily because of the sharp rise in short sale listings.  Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac launched new short sale programs under the Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternative (HAFA) program in early August.  We are beginning to see agents, buyers, and sellers genuinely embrace short sales as there have been clear signs of more efficient negotiations and closings within this market segment.  Obviously we need more legislative attention to the need for dealing with deficiency judgments in Nevada for even better results.

Please keep in mind that Early Voting in Nevada begins next month on October 16, 2010 and runs through October 29, 2010.  Every single vote counts, so please VOTE and you will MAKE A DIFFERENCE!

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